THE RETURN: Arsenal discover route to avoid nightmare Champions League draw – Liverpool can change it
The outcome of this season’s Premier League top-four fight, as well as the Champions League and Europa League finals, might all have an impact on Arsenal.
Despite the fact that I am not actively involved in any of them. But it’s all because of the Gunners’ recent underwhelming performances in Europe.
The impact it is likely to make as they prepare to return to the Champions League for the first time since 2017.
Simply expressed, failing to qualify for any European competition for the 2020/21 season.
While also exiting the Europa League at the round of 16 stage at the hands of Sporting CP, Mikel Arteta’s side is presently rated 23rd in the UEFA coefficient rankings this season.
Keeping this in mind, as well as how the Champions League group stage draw works.
Arsenal’s goal of reaching the knockout stage by February 2024 is looking increasingly unrealistic.
It appears like they will be unable to wrest the Premier League trophy from Manchester City.
According to UEFA.com, the Champions League draw is conducted as follows: “The teams will be split into four seeding pots.
“Pot 1 will consist of the holders, the UEFA Europa League winners and the champions of the six highest-ranked nations who did not qualify via one of the 2022/23 continental titles; Pots 2 to 4 will be determined by the club coefficient rankings.”
Relatively unchanged UCL pot tracker for this week. Fivethirtyeight have made Roma the odds-on favorite to win the EL so they take that pot 1 spot. Still Madrid, Inter or Juve winning a European cup remains the most probable way to help Arsenal to pot 2. NUFC = pot 4 if qual. pic.twitter.com/CiGZJzi4dl
— Adam Rae Voge (@adamvoge) May 15, 2023
As a result, a spectacular sequence of results is required for the Gunners to come out on top in the title battle.
While placing second ensures they will not be in Pot 1, there is no guarantee they will be in Pot 2 depending on their coefficient position.
The above chart is based on the assumption that Roma will win the Europa League and so be placed in Pot 1 for next season’s Champions League draw.
However, with Jose Mourinho’s side unlikely to finish in the top four in Serie A, it would be ideal for Arsenal if Juventus defeated Sevilla and Bayer Leverkusen.
However, this is where Liverpool might provide a terrible scenario to Arsenal.
Following a 3-0 win over Leicester City on Monday night, the Reds are now just a point behind Newcastle United and Manchester United in the Premier League top-four competition.
Jurgen Klopp’s team is at a slight disadvantage because they have played one more game than their opponents.
If they take advantage of any slip-up and finish no lower than fourth, they will be put in Pot 2 for the Champions League draw based on their coefficient.
As a result, even if Juventus wins the Europa League, the Gunners will almost probably be relegated to Pot 3.
Unless Newcastle finishes ahead of Manchester United in the top four, Eddie Howe’s side will be placed in Pot 4 if they qualify.
Of course, if Arsenal had won the Premier League on May 28, all of this would have been averted.
Then, as champions of England, one of the top six nations, they would have been put in Pot 1 upon their return.
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THE RETURN: Arsenal discover route to avoid nightmare Champions League draw – Liverpool can change it